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However a recent study suggests that CT scans performed in USA alone in 2023 could eventually lead to over 100,000 extra cancer cases. If the current rate of scanning carries on, the researchers say that CT scans can be responsible for around 5 percent of all cancers diagnosed each year.
The researchers reported that the number of CT scans done in the US has increased by 30 percent in just over a decade. In 2023, there were an estimated 93 million CT scans done on 62 million people.
Note that the risk from a single CT scan is low, but not zero. The younger the patient, the higher the risk. Children and teenagers are more vulnerable because their bodies are still growing and developing. Any damage caused by the ionising radiation may not show up until years later.
Hence it is fortunate that more than 90 percent of CT scans are done on adults, so this group will probably face the most impact.
The more common cancers linked to CT exposure are bladder, colon, leukemia, and lung. For females, breast cancer is a significant concern.
This latest estimate is much higher than a previous similar analysis. That analysis, published in 2009, projected 29,000 future cancers linked to CT scans. The current estimate (100,000 cases) is more than 3 times higher. It not just because of more scans done but also newer research allows for a more detailed analysis of radiation to specific organs.
This study also suggested that if things stay the same, CT related cancers could match the number of cancers caused by alcohol or excess weight, 2 well known risk factors.
Note that not all CT scans carry the same levels of risk. Abdomen and pelvic CT scans are thought to contribute the most to future cases in adults. In children, it's head CTs that pose the biggest concern. This is especially for babies under one year of age.
Despite this, doctors ordering them stress that CT scans are essential in many cases and they have saved lives by catching potentially fatal conditions early and also to guide treatment. They are often crucial during emergencies. The big challenge is making sure they are used only when really needed.
Please note that this study by Smith-Bindman et al (2025) does NOT prove that CT scans cause cancers. The estimates are based on risk models, not direct evidence. The American College of Radiology released a statement to say that no study has yet linked CT scans directly to humans getting cancer, even after multiple scans.
The idea that radiation can cause cancer is not new. It is scientifically sound, especially with the huge number of scans done. Small risks do add up.
Personally I hope that hospitals (here in Singapore) switch to photon counting CT scanners since they deliver smaller doses of radiation. The researchers also suggest using MRI's or ultrasound scans when necessary or possible instead of CT to reduce radiation.
CT scans definitely save lives, but they are not risk free. Hopefully as medical technology evolves, we too will change how we use them by cutting down unnecessary scans or use safer alternatives.
Reference
Smith-Bindman R, Chu PW, Firdaus HF et al (2025) Projective Lifetime Cancer Risks From Current Computed Tomography Imaging. JAMA Intern Med. 185(6): 710-710. DOI: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2025.0505






